THURSDAY
NCAA ROUND 1
Sam Houston State vs. Baylor
2:55 PM EST
I'm taking the over. Baylro is red hot and loves to push. Sam Houston State isn't afraid to pony up and run and gun either. If you watched Baylor at the end of the year they outran an athletic Texas team and pushed tempo against everyone with great success.
**Baylor is 4-1 ATS on the over in it's last 5.
**Sam Houston averages 79 a game, Baylor 76
**Both teams shoot over 46% from the field.
Baylor is going to make a run in this tourney and Sam Houston State knows only one way to score: Push the ball, press, and bomb 3's. Baylor can feed the inside and bomb long range. This game goes over 165.
PC 3*** on Baylor over 150

UNLV vs. Northern Iowa
7:10 PM EST
Wow, will be the most boring game of the tournament. Slow ball king UNI vs. methodical plodding UNLV. This total has already dropped 3 points from line inception and I expect it to drop more.
**Combined the two teams are 11-4 ATS on the under in their last 15 games.
**UNI is 4'th in the nation at 54.3 points allowed a game.
**Both teams have held their opponents to around 39% FG shooting this year.
I don't expect a breakout game. UNI will slow this game down and a lot of the public will hammer the over seeing UNLV score 70 or more in 4 out of their last 5. UNI has a very talented and intelligent head coach and he will take note of SDSU's defensive scheme when they beat UNLV. This game is going to be tight, but I gotta take the under.
PC 3*** on UNLV/UNI under 114

12:25 PM EST
Old Dominion vs. Notre Dame
I've said it all year. We expect the Big East to be ferocious and tough teams. NOT THIS YEAR! Fade the East in your brackets, I promise you will thank me. Notre dame is garbage. They have a great player in harangody, but not much else. ODU is very athletic, balanced, and plays incredible defense with one of the best point guards in the country. With such a low line, Vegas is epxecting everyone to bite on Notre Dame and we all know how crazy brackets get in this tourney. This is a sucker line. ODU will win this game outright and send the first of 8 teams packing from the Big East. All the trends point to a Notre Dame win but I just don't see it. ODU is a very competitive team and have been here before. The funny line is the main reason I'm on this. I just have a feeling ODU wins this game outright and starts the Madness early on thursday in what should be an upset filled Friday and Saturday. I won't throw a lot of trends on this one. I know ODU and know they have the talent to win this game. 
PC 3*** on ODU +2 1/2

WEDNESDAY
NIT:
Illinois State vs. Dayton
7:00 PM EST
If you've been with me all year, you know, I know, the Dayton Flyers. They are athletic and fun to watch. The Valley offers the Redbirds of Illinois State as a matchup and I'm going after the side. I like the Valley in this one. The Redbirds can play with anyone when they get after it and this game is one that is letdown for Dayton, inspiring for the Redbirds. Illinois State didn't expect an NCAA, they expected an NIT. Dayton started the season ranked as high as 13'th and didn't make the dance. They are devestated and I don't see them coming out to play to their level. Slowball is king in the Valley and if Illinois State can come out and control tempo, Dayton will have issues. The Redbirds are methodical in their sets and like to feed the ball inside. I think they will have success against a smaller, more athletic Dayton team. Should be a very close game, I think  the line is off by at least 5 points.
PC 3*** on Illinois State +9

NIT
Nevada @ Wichita State
8:00 PM EST
Another slow ball team in Wichita State against a team taht isn't that good. The Shockers felt they deserved a look at the bubble in the NCAA and at 24-7, I agreed with them. They will not be crushed because they knew they didn't have the moxie or RPI to make the dance. Nevada is not a good team and the Shcokers home floor is going to be rocking. Wichita State can get on a roll at home on both ends of the floor. With such a high total, we should see a run and gun but WSU will slow it down and Nevada will be baffled. I have to lay the points in what will be a sold out home floor that Nevada has never experienced. Shockers by double digits.
PC 3*** on Wichita State -8

Big X:
Minny vs. Ohio State
3:30 PM EST
In the last 10 games, Minnesota has allowed 60 or less points in 9 of those games with the one exception being an 80 point outburst by Michigan during the regular season. Ohio State is also defensive minded. Other than the double OT thriller against the Illini yesterday, the Buckeyes have allowe 68 points or less (under 60 8 times) in the last 12 games played. Minnesota has really clamped down defensively to end the season and what they did to Purdue (11 first half points) was impressive. Not a huge write up here, I'm just riding what should be a very defensive minded philosiphy by Thad and Tubby, the two head coach's and what is usually a low scoring affair in the Big X finale.
PC 3*** on Ohio State/Minny under 130

NBA:
Indy @ Milwaukee
12:05 PM EST
Who's hotter than Milwaukee? This team is dominating with wins over the Jazz, the Celtics, and winners of 5 straight. They are 4-0-1 ATS against Indiana in their last 5. They are in the thick of the playoff hunt. I again am skipping a huge write up. This bucks team is dominating and after beating a similar team (Washington) by 13++ in two straight games, I see no reason to not back them at home against Indy in a day game. The ONLY reason this isn't a 5***** is the Bucks might slip and overlook the Pacers. I don't see it though. 
Milwaukee Bucks -9 PC 3***
NOTE EARLY TIP!

Right back to the $$$$
2-0 ATS yesterday +6 units
7-2 ATS in conference tourneys

Let's get after it:

NBA:
Late tip
10:35 PM EST
Toronto @ Golden State
I'm all over the Warriors. This team has been nothing short of an ATS juggernaut. let's look at some stats:
**Golden State is 5-2 ATS in their last 7.
**G State is 36-27-1 ATS on the season and 18-14 ATS at home this year.
**Toronto is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 and a solid 1-8 ATS in their last 9.
**Toronto is 13-18 ATS on the road this year.
**Toronto lost by 13 to Sac Town last time out on their current road trip.
I've been watching and laying on G State the past few weeks. This team can absolutely bomb and Stephon Curry has been such a pleasant surprise. I didn't think he would have the physicality to play in the NBA but he has proven me wrong. Here's the main reason I'm playing G state tomorrow night:
The Raptors, flat out, cannot play defense. Now the Warriors aren't any kind of defensive wizards, but the Raptors are god awful defensively. Bosh is back but that doesn't mean anything to me. G State is going to run the Raptors off the court. I've enjoyoed watching this team lately and the Raps just won't be able to catch up. Tight game early, blowout win by double digits late for the Warriors.
PC 3*** ML on Golden State to win outright +105
Play the + 1 1/2 if you want too..you won't need it.

Battle of Kansas part III
K State vs. Kansas
6:00 PM EST
I love the Jayhawks, I think they win the NCAA tourney. But today, I'm taking K State.  Even though Kansas absolutely owns the Jayhawks, this tournament has shown that Kansas is playing sluggish and dangerous basketball right now. As a Hawks fan I'm very worried. Losing to T Tech in the 2nd half, losing to A and M in the 2nd half. Big runs led by Sherron Collins to get the wins. You simply can't do that against this K State team. It's been a very long time since K State won the Big XII/VIII tourney and today, for the first time in a long time, I don't know if KU will have the home court advantage. This game is a rock solid final.  Did anyone watch the baylor game last night? K State answered every run and shot lights out in the Sprint Center, something KU hasn't been able to do. I have watched both battle of Kansas tilts and K State does a very good job on Cole Aldrich. I think where Kansas is weak in this matchup is at shooting guard. Can Xavier Henry be a difference maker? Maybe. Pullen and Clemente and coach Frank Martin still are going after a high seed, Kansas is locked into a #1. I'm backing K State to cover the points tonight in what should be a great game.
PC 3*** on Kansas State +5 1/2

A 3rd play which I've been watching line movement all day and researching:

Big East Championship
9:00 PM EST
Gtown vs. WVA
What an interesting matchup. Gtown has played 3 games in 3 days and WVA has had to win dramatically in their last 2 games after a 1'st round bye. Looking at this game let's consider some factors:
**Gtown has played 3 straight including a trackmeet against #1 seed Syracuse and a blowout win against Marquette.
**WVA has methodically made their way to the title game behind solid defense. In their two tourney games they have allowed 51 points and played great defense against Cincy and Notre Dame.
**In their only matchup this year, WVA won by 13 at home.
**Gtown is on a roll covering 4 in a row ATS.
With all that being said, I am laying the points and playing on the favorite, West Virginia. Here's why:
1.)Experience factor: I have capped this tournament well for BPO Sport Corp. going back to the Team FLA days. WVA always plays well in the garden. I slammed them during the NIT tourney a few years back and also in previous Garden visits to the Big east tourney. Put simply, this team plays very well in the Garden.
2.)Coaching: Huggie Bear is a solid coach. Put simply, his win at all costs mentality makes his team play with great intensity. One of the reasons they match up well with Gtown is they aren't afraid to buckle down and play defense and get physical. This team loves to bang and it's the reason they dominated Gtown earlier in the year.
3.)Fatigue: For onyone that follows this tournament annually, it takes a miracle to win 4 games in 4 days. The last team to do it was Jerry mac's Cuse team in that incredible 5OT semi and then final. It is very hard to play 4 games in 4 days and win this thing. WVA had some time off and they haven't performed offensively. However, I see Gtown and their PG Freeman being much more fatigued and this team they face plays the best defense in the Big East. (Honorable mention to Jimmy's 2-3 matchup zone of Cuse)
The pub is on Gtown and I can see why. They are hot, but this is an entirely different team than the first two run and guns of Cuse and Marquette. I can't see Gtown matching WVA on either end of the floor for a full 40 minutes. I'm taking WVA to win this thing and pull away late to get us the Big East Championship and another PC tourney win.
PC 3*** on WVA -2 1/2

Big XII
Baylor vs. K State
9:00 PM EST
Yes, Baylor burned me last night. Yes, they won all 3 matchups vs. Texas tonight. Do they have anything left in the tank after last night's emotional win? Sure they do, but I'm backing K State. The Wildcats looked great in an easy win against a very hot Okie State team. The Cats played great and they will have the hometown KC crowd backing them tonight. There will be some Jayhawk fans rooting for them to lose, but secretly, everyone in that building wants a K State/KU finale in the Sprint Center. I was very impressed with the quickness and outside shooting of Baylor, but K State has a great guard tandem in Clemente and Pullen. K State's weakness is their inside game and Baylor will not be able to exploit that. This should be a good game but I'm taking K State. The cats won in Baylor, the Bears won in Manhatten. Who plays better defense? K State. Who's playing for more? K State. This should be a great game and I initially wanted to go 5 units but Baylor scared me back down to 3 on K State tonight.
K State -1 1/2 PC 3***

A-10
Round 3 in the battle of Ohio
Dayton vs. Xavier
6:30 PM EST
I'm 2-0 this year in this series hitting Dayton as a side and the over. Today I'm advocating an over in this game. I watched both Dayton/Xavier tilts this year and they were both very entertaining games. These two teams hate each other and on a neutral court, I had a real tough time picking a side so I went after the total. Some stats:
**the over is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 in this series.
**The 2 games this year landed on 152 and 145 with listed totals of 134 and 135.
**Dayton covered both games this year including a 90 point output at home last time out.
**In last year's A-10 tourney these two hooked up and landed on 139 total with a listed total of 126.
For those of you that have been with me throughout the year, you know I like Dayton and think they are a very athletic team. This game might start slow but Dayton loves to push and Xavier will use that inside out game that has been working so well for them lately.
PC 3*** on Round III Dayton/Xavier over 134

Nice hits last night in the XII, that's 5-0 ATS in the Conference tourney's. Let's get back at it:

3:20 PM EST (approximate)
LSU vs. Tennessee
I agree with Tbone's logic that this time of year the dogs bite. But in this game, I am going to fade the double digit dog and roll on Tennessee. I live in the South and I will tell you right now that LSU is absolute garbage in hoops. They have no offense and play a weak 2-3 zone that allows teams with good perimeter shooting to light them up. Now, Tennesse only won by 5 at Baton Rouge, but you can argue that Tennessee is the hottest team in the SEC. Not only have they beaten my beloved #1 ranked Jayhawks, they have beaten #2 kentucky and are on a roll. Look at their last 3 games:
**beat kentucky by 9.
**beat Arkansas by 7.
**beat Mississippi State in a game MSU had to have to get to the dance by 16.
Tennessee has the perfect offense to cover this spread. I hate, absolutely hate going against double digit dogs this time of year but I can't help myself. No way can LSU match up with Tennessee today in a day game of the SEC tourney.
What I find interesting is that if you look at Tennessee's schedule, they have been hanging their hat on defense. We are used to seeing Tennessee dominate offensively and playing run and gun with anyone who gives them the chance. But they are winning with a great defensive effort including a 17-0 start against Mississippi State last time out. I dont see Pearl letting the troops slip in this game and I don't expect LSU to get anything done. Some interesting stats:
LSU hasn't gone over 70 points since January 23'rd.
LSU is 2-14 SU in the SEC this year, 11-19 overall.
This Tigers team has nothing to offer. I really think UT is going to win by 20+++ and rest their starters for the stretch run of this tourney.
PC 3*** on University of Tennessee -11

Texas vs. Baylor
9:30 PM EST
As many of you know, I stated at the beginning of the year that I thought Texas was one of the best teams in the country. They have a lot of quality on the floor and a talented team. We have hit a 5***** on them twice this year with the UNC game and the under in Kansas. Today, I am going 4 stars on the Texas Longhorns to win their battle with Baylor tonight. Let's get into it:
**Baylor has owned Texas this year. The Bears have won both games this year which has never happened in the history of Baylor basketball. Texas is mired in an ATS slump of 1-6 ATS in their last 7. I can't go against Rick Barnes and the talent he has on the floor. The Horns have been taking it on the chin lately and keep hearing about how overrated they were since their #1 ranking earlier in the year. In fairness to Horn's fans, the Texas side has gotten serious injury issues at the 1 and 2 guard position. However, with that being said, I am going to roll Texas for the following reasons.
1.)3 in one season? I don't think Baylor can beat this team 3 times in one year. The Horns have Damien James and fellow all american candidate Dexter Pittman inside. The last two games were high scoring affairs and Rick Barnes is a great coach. No way in hell he runs the same gameplan against Baylor. He will react and have a recipe for success for his match with Baylor tonight.
2.)Revenge!  Baylor knocked Texas out of the Big XII tournament last year and don't think it's not a factor in today's game. The Longhorns have fallen and nothing would serve this talented team better than to run the table and salvage a season of high expectations with a Big XII tourney win. That happens and I guarantee Texas jumps up to a #4 seed this weekend.
3.)Coaching advantage. I said it earlier, Barnes is one slick coach and knows his X's and O's. Baylor has done a great job resurrecting their program and they are safely in the dance. Put simply, Texas needs this game badly. 
4.)Flow: Texas played a tough ISU team (I know that's a stretch) last night and handled them and All American Candidate Craig Brackins. I firmly believe that playing last night while Baylor hasn't played since last Saturday gives Texas the edge. 
Overall, I'm backing the Horns for the above listed reasons. I just don't think Baylor can beat them 3 times in a row. I also think Texas is going to make a run in this tourney. Let's back the Horns today.
PC 4**** on Texas Pick Em

Big XII Opening Round
We smoked the Valley tourney going 3-0 ATS for BPO clients. Now I delve into my "other" backyard the Big XII and look forward to banging this tourney for ya:

Nebraska vs. Missouri
3:00 PM EST
I'm taking the over in this game. While Nebraska traditionally plays a very solid defense and slow ball, Mizzou will bring that 40 minutes of hell pressure to the court and force Nebraska to get into a running game. Look at the line, Mizzou is a double digit favorite. That tells me the linesmakers believe that Mizzou's defensive pressure will win out which will increase the tempo of the game. I'm not going big on this game because a day game in the Big XII tourney is unpredictable. I really do believe though that Mizzou's full court pressure will eventually force Nebraska out of their half court shell. If Mizzou is hot from the perimeter, this game will break 140. Let's roll on what I think should be an over play.

PC 3*** on Mizzou/Nebraska over 130 (WIN)

Bedlam Part III
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State
7:00 PM EST
Again, another over. Oklahoma State has finished the season strong and they are a lock for the NCAA tourney. Oklahoma's only way into the tournament is to win the Big XII tourney and get the auto bid. To me, that translates into a high scoring affair. James Anderson is the best #3 forward you haven't heard about. He's absolutely amazing and can take over a game with his scoring ability. Okie State loves to run and Capel's boys should indulge the Cowboys in what I think is the best game of the opening round of the Big XII tourney. The Sooners will be desperate for the win (see free play) and will run and gun with the Cowboys. The inside play of Moses is non existent for the Cowboys, and Oklahoma will feed Tiny Gallon and use an inside out game with Willie Warren to create scoring opportunities. This should be a low scoring first half and then an absolute barn burner 2nd half. In fact, if you play 2nd halfs, take the over with confidence no matter what the number if the first half falls belows 70. Don't take it if the first half total is 71 or more, but if it's under 70, take the 2nd half over with confidence. I really see this game being the most entertaining and the last 4 minutes of regulation should get us that over.

PC 3*** on Bedlam Part III over 142 (the battle of Oklahoma) (WIN)

Let's keep it rollin:

CBB:
Summit League Final
9:00 PMEST
I have bet on spots on Oakland and I'm taking them tonight. Oakland has played almost everyone in the top 75 of RPI tough and tonight they get a chance to punch their dance ticket. Oakland is a good team. They are an offensive juggernaut as well averaging close to 80 a game. This is easily the best game on the docket tonight in my opinion and the public is going with IUPUI for some unknown reason. Oakland has played 4 teams in the top 25 at some point this season and they have easily covered all 4 ATS wise. It's been a long time since they have danced. I see Oakland winning by 5++ and was shocked when they were the small underdog. I'm on them.
Oakland +1 1/2 PC 3*** (WIN)

NBA:
Toronto @ LA Lakers
10:05 PM EST
Cmon, the Lakers aren't this bad. They have been on the coldest streak of their season but what better way to get healthy then playing the no defense Raptors at home. The Lakers finally get home after losing and falling short of the Magic, in a game they back door covered. The Raptors have Bosh back, but Hedo Turkoglo is out and you must have a s harpshooter to augment an offensive attack against the Lakers. Bynum, Gasol, and Odom can clog up the middle and slow up Bosh. I don't see players like Calderon getting the better of perimeter defenders like Artest and Kobe. This game will be a blowout. Lakers get healthy tonight against the Raptors and absolutely decimate the Raptors tonight.
PC 3*** on LA Lakers -11 1/2 (loss)

Let's keep the run going:
NBA:
San Antonio @ memphis:
8:05 PM EST
You see I play a lot on the Grizzlies. Tonight, I advocate we roll the under. Memphis plays well on the road, terrible at home. Against a team that can play great defense, I'm rolling the under tonight. San Antonio will give Gasol all kinds of problems inside. Manu and Parker can contain Mayo on the point. Memphis will have to slow down the game and play great defense if they want a shot to win their first home game in the last 5 tries. The Grizzlies desperately want to break their home losing streak and I think that translates into a better defensive effort tonight.
**San Antonio is 16-13 ATS on the under on the road.
**Memphis is 18-11 ATS on the under at home.
**The total has gone under 7 out of the last 8 times these teams have hooked up in Memphis.
I think we see a much more inspired effort by the Grizzlies at home tonight and that equates to a low scoring game as both teams try to win with defense.
PC 3*** on Memphis/San Antonio under 198

Arch Madness Play #2:

We hit the first play last night. Here's play #2:
Mo State vs. Wichita State:
7:00 PM EST
I'm all over the Shockers. Mo State did not cover and had all kinds of trouble against Evansville as predicted here on BPO Sports corp. last night. As I stated in last night's write up, the Bears are faltering down the stretch barely beating Evansville in the play in game. Wichita State is a cut above at this stage of the season and their slow deliberate pace of play should be money for Shocker backers tonight. I expect this line to go up so get it NOW!
Stats:
__Mo State is 1-5 SU in their last 6 against the Shockers.
__Wichita State is a jaw dropping 11-3 ATS in the last 14 against the bears.
__Mo State is 1-9 ATS in it's last 10 on the road in the Valley.

Guys, both games between the two teams have been tight. Both teams have 20 wins. Wichita State still has an outside shot at the dance if they make a deep run. I look for a close first half and the Shockers covering for us by 6 or more at the end.
PC 3*** on Wichita State -2 1/2

Arch Madness Night cap:
Indiana State vs. Illinois state
9:35 PM EST
I'm all over the Sycamores. If you follow the Valley, you know the Redbirds of Illinois State play to the level of their competition. Indiana State is playing well (4-1 ATS in their last 5) and play the Redbirds tough, year in year out. This year's season series is 1-1 ATS but look at the history including Arch madness:
**Indiana State is 6-1 ATS (inlcuding this year) in the last 7 matchups.
**Indiana State is 6-3 SU win record in the last 9 against the Redbirds.
The Sycamores can run and they can also play slow ball. This is way too many points for a hot team like Indiana State. I have to advocate we roll on the Sycamores of Indiana State.
PC 3*** on Indiana State +6 1/2
(Arch Madness Play #3)

NBA:
Milwaukee @ Washington
7:05 PM EST
I hammered this game last week and I'm going to hammer it again. Put simply, the Bucks are playing incredible basketball and I see no reason not to back them. They were a missed tip away from being 8-0 SU in their last 8 road games. 
**Bucks are 38-21 ATS
**Bucks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 on the road.
**Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against the Wizards.
**Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road against the Wizards.
I look at the young legs of Bogut (injured part of the year) Jennings (potential rookie of the year candidate) Iraslova (great Euro player) and see a team that is running and clicking on all cylinders. The Bucks are currently in the 7'th hole in the playoffs and with this continued run can get as high as #5. They won't let this opportunity against a patsie slip. Milwaukee won by 13 at home 2 days ago, no reason to not lay on them tonight.
PC 2** on Milwaukee -4

Arch Madness
The moniker for the Mo Valley Tourney. I smoked this tourney last year and I'm going to do it again for BPO clients.

Evansville @ Mo State (play in game)
9:35 PM EST
The Mo State Bears are 19-11 and thinking they have a good shot at the post season NIT. Anyone that wins the Valley gets the auto bid to the NCAA big dance but both teams know this is unrealistic. I looked at this matchup and first thought that this matchup had the correct line. But I'm backing off on that. I'm playing the dog and would not be surprised at a SU win by the double digit dog Aces. Let's start with some stats:
**Evansville has won their last 2 games straight up including a shocking, drop your jaw win against Mo Valley Power Northern Iowa.
**Evansville is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games.
**Both teams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 on the road in the Valley. (This tournament is in St. Louis..hence the name Arch Madness!)
**The two teams are 1-1 ATS this year in league play with the road team winning ATS in the two games.
I look at Mo State and I see a team that peaked early and in non-conference, but hasn't done much down the stretch. They are fading and tired. They will have the in-state support but Evansville will have a lot of confidence after beating #24 ranked Northern Iowa. The Purple Aces are playing their best ball of the season, the Bears are fading down the stretch. Let's go with the hotter team with fresher legs and more confidence.
PC 3*** on Evansville + 10

Memphis @ Chicago
NBA
8:00 PM EST
I'm all over the Grizzlies. This team is Jekyll and Hyde. Three straight SU and ATS wins on the road, 2 straight ATS and SU losses at home. This team plays better on the road. The Bulls are making a late season charge but have been beset by injuries. No Joakim Noah tonight, Luol Deng is day to day and while I expect him to play, it will be interesting to see if he is at full strength. First time all star Derrick Rose is ailing, I have him in fantasy and he has yet to finish a game in his last 3 times out. The Grizzlies are a much better road team than home as evidenced by their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 road games and a 17-13 ATS ledger on the road this year. The Bulls will turn to some role players tonight but against Gasol inside, they are going to be lacking Tyrus Thomas can't stay out of foul trouble and the athletic John Salmons will have trouble with the quick frontcourt of Memphis. I have to ride the Grizzlies tonight as a dog.
PC 3*** on Memphis +5 1/2

4**** banger
Golden State @ Miami
7:35 PM EST
I love this total to go under tonight. The Heat just got Dwade back and he looks back to normal. With a double digit favorite line in favor of the Heat tonight, I fully expect D Wade to go for about 3 quarters as the Heat build a big lead and then we have a very low scoring fourth quarter. The Warriors have so  many injuries that I just don't know where the scoring is going to come from. Look at this injury list for the Warriors:

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
PLAYER	POS	DESCRIPTION
Kelenna Azubuike	G	Out For Season (knee injury)
Raja Bell	G	Out Indefinitely (wrist injury)
Andris Biedrins	F	Out Indefinitely (groin injury)
Monta Ellis	G	Day-to-Day (sore back)
Corey Maggette	G	Out Indefinitely (hamstring injury)
Vladimir Radmanovic	F	Out Indefinitely (sore achilles)
Anthony Randolph	F	Out Indefinitely (ankle injury)
Brandan Wright	F	Out Indefinitely (shoulder surgery)

Azubuike, Bell, Biedrens, Ellis, Maggette, Randolph and Radmanovic have all started this year. There is no way in hell that a top 5 defensive team like Miami is going to give up a huge line to a team that has this kind of injury problems. I watch a lot of the Heat and think this total will go significantly down today. If it goes up, don't be scared. The players who are taking the court for Golden State are better defensive than offensive players and Miami won't get into a run and gun tonight. Don't be worried if the first quarter is high scoring either. We gotta take the under tonight. Golden State is 16-11 ATS on the under on the road, Miami is 18-11 ATS on the under at home. Golden State has gone under in 6 of their last 7 games on the road.
Let's roll
PC NBA GOW: Golden State/Miami under 201 1/2
4****

Oklahoma @ Texas
9:00 PM EST
OU burned me last monday on the total and I'm not going to let it happen again. Texas lost outright to OU 80-71 in Norman and tonight I expect another high flying affair in Austin. The line is dropping on OU and I think that both teams have really lost their edge defensively. All the trends lead to an under, but I'm taking the over. Both teams can shoot the 3, OU is atrocious at defense, and Texas has revenge on their mind. I see a high flyer on ESPN tonight and I'm rollin the over to the tune of 3 units.
PC 3*** on OU/Texas over 145 1/2

NBA
Toronto @ Houston
8:35 PM EST
I'm advocating another over. I can't stress enough how good Kevin martin has become when healthy and he's really starting to get comfortable in Houston. Early in the year, the Rockets hung their hat on defense and solid contributions from a bevy of role players. However, the team is starting to find an identity. They have lost 9 of 11 at the Toyota Center, but the offense has been clicking. Their defense, however, in true Kevin martin form, has been terrible. On the other side of the court, the Raptors are also a porous defensive team with one of the worst ppg. averages in the NBA. I looked at this game and wanted to ride Toronto, but not having Bosh against a team who has lost 9 of 11 limits that play to a free play. 
Houston has owned Toronto in the past, but I see a tighter game tonight with some high flying scoring. Seems like a high total with Bosh out, but the Raps will let the ball fly tonight and Houston will push with Martin. Hedo only had 7 points his last time out and he should get some real good looks tonight. Without Bosh, the Houston interior game will have solid success against no defense. Look for a fast paced start, a slow 2nd quarter and then a banging 2nd half.
PC 3*** on Toronto/Houston over 214

Banging Saturday at BPO Sport corp. Congrats to the team as we absolutely raked for ya. I personally hit for 7 units and look to hit a 3*** to end this week:

Milwaukee @ Atlanta 6:00 PM EST
Who's hotter than the Milwaukee Bucks? Sounds funny doesn't it? The Bucks are a machine right now though. Look at their past 5 results:
**5-0 SU including the last 2 on the road.
**94-71 win @ Miami, 112-110 win @ Indy, 115-95 win at home over New Orleans, 83-67 win @ New York, 93-88 win over Charlotte. 
**4-0-1 ATS in their last 5.
**The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5.
I have to back the Bucks. Since Bogut has gotten healthy, the inside out game of Bogut and Johnny Flynn has been terrific. The hawks are a solid team and they have a solid top 6, but I just think the Bucks are playing their bast ball of the season and are hammering the line while the public plays traditionally against them. I have to back the large dog.
PC 3*** on Milwaukee +7 1/2 (take down to 6) 

GL

Nova @ Cuse
9:00 PM EST
I am taking Syracuse tonight to take care of Scottie Reynolds and the talented Villanova Wildcats. 5 points might seem like a lot between these two potential #1 seeds, but I'm not buying it. The largest crowd ever to see an on campus game will be backing the Orange and Jim Boehiem's team is going to play that great 2-3 matchup zone which should really neutralize Nova's ability. Scottie reynolds can ball, there is no doubt about it. He's a slasher and can score from outside. With that being said, I think the Cuse defense is the perfect cure to this kind of player. It will take the role players of Nova to really step up to have a shot of winning of this game.
PC 3*** Cuse -5 

NBA:
memphis @ new York
7:35 PM EST
Yes, I know the Grizz lost last night against the Bobcats at home. All the more reason to take them tonight. They are 3-0 ATS and SU on the road since the all star break. The Knicks will probalby by missing T Mac who reaggravated a knee injury. The Knickers played an OT thriller last night which they won. I just cann't see a reason to not lay on the Grizz tonight. They didn't get it done last night but I fully expect it tonight. No way they go 0-2 ATS in this stretch and it's a 4**** for me now. The Knicks aren't that good, the Grizz are great on the road, and matchup wise, unless the Knicks have a field day from the 3 point stripe, this game will be a laugher for the Grizzlies. Memphis is 10-4 ATS in it's last 14 on the road and they owe me one. I get it back tonight with some change.
PC 4**** on Memphis -2 1/2